◼ He was correct on 50/50 states in 2012. Can he do it again? - Justin Green/Washington Examiner
Democrats' favorite statistician from 2012 may not be their favorite this fall.
Nate Silver's latest election forecast says Republicans are "slightly more likely than not" to regain control of the Senate in November....
This year's batch of Senate elections "come from states that gave Obama an average of just 46 percent of the vote in 2012."
Silver describes 2014 as a potential "reversion to the mean," and says a "wave" election is unnecessary for Republicans to retake control.
