As many as 34 of the contested races in the June Primary could lead to a same party runoff in November

◼ The Top Two Primary is Coming: “Fasten Your Seatbelts … it’s going to be a bumpy night.” - Allan Hoffenblum/Fox&Hounds

The California Target Book, which I publish, just placed online our pre-Primary analyses of the 53 congressional, 80 state assembly and 20 odd-numbered state senate seats up for election (along with profiles on 555 candidates that will appear on the ballot).

And what we discovered is that as many as 34 of the contested races in the June Primary could lead to a same party runoff in November; 8 in Congress, 4 in the state Senate, and as many as 22 in the state Assembly.

Of the 22, 16 will be Democrat vs. Democrat, only 6 will be Republican vs. Republican.
The principal cause of the large number of D vs. D contests is the very low Republican registration in large portions of this state, particularly along the coast and areas with a large minority population; areas where the GOP registration numbers are so low, that their candidates can’t seriously compete for a top two spot.