If you take the simple analysis that any state with a negative rating will go to the Republican, and any state with a positive rating will go to Obama, November promises to be a bloodbath for the incumbent.
If you just add up electoral votes in that manner, you have the Republican winning 323 to 215.
Here is the projected electoral map courtesy of the Washington Examiner:
◼ Americans Say Obama’s Presidency Has Been A Failure - RNC Research:
◼ “Americans Are More Likely To Say His Presidency Has Been A Failure Than A Success, 50%-44%.” - (Susan Page, “Poll: Optimism On The Economy Doesn’t Lift Views Of Politics,” USA Today, 2/23/12)
◼ Quinnipiac University Poll: 49 Percent Of Americans Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To Just 45 Percent Who Approve. - (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
◼ Quinnipiac University Poll: 50 Percent Of Voters Say Obama Doesn’t Deserve Re-Election While Just 45 Percent Say He Deserves It. -(Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: 48 Percent Of Independents Do Not Believe Obama Deserves To Be Re-Elected, Compared To Just 43 Percent Who Do. (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: “A Full Majority — 55 Percent — Of Voters Disapprove Of His Handling Of The Economy, While 41 Percent Approve.” (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: Independents Disapprove, 56 To 37 Percent, Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy. (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: 61 Percent Of Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Budget Deficit. (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: 65 Percent Of Independent Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Budget Deficit. (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
Quinnipiac University Poll: Voters Support 64-23 Percent The Proposed Keystone Pipeline. (Quinnipiac University Poll 2,605 RV MoE 1.9% 2/14-2/20)
And Americans See Him As “Too Liberal”
“A 51% Majority Say Obama Is Too Liberal, And Americans Are Inclined To Say They Disagree With Him On The Issues That Matter Most To Them.” (Susan Page, “Poll: Optimism On The Economy Doesn’t Lift Views Of Politics,” USA Today, 2/23/12)
50 Percent Of Americans Say They Disagree With Obama On The Issues That Matter Most To Them. (Gallup, 1,014 A, MoE 4%, 2/16 -19/12)
Obama Is Even Losing His “Favorability” Factor
At 50 Percent, Obama’s Favorability Rating Is Lower Than Every Nominee In The Past Five Presidential Contests Except Republican Bob Dole. “His favorable rating is 50%, higher than the GOP presidential contenders but lower than every nominee in the past five presidential contests at this point except Republican Bob Dole, who lost in 1996.” (Susan Page, “Poll: Optimism On The Economy Doesn’t Lift Views Of Politics,” USA Today, 2/23/12)
Obama Continues To Struggle In Key Battleground States
NBC News/Marist Poll: 51 Percent Of Arizona Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, Compared To Just 38 Percent Who Approve. (NBC News/Marist Poll, 2487 RV, MoE 2%, 2/19-2/20)
Des Moines Register Poll: “Obama Is In Trouble In Iowa Today, Hampered By Negative Perceptions Of The Job He Is Doing As President.” (“Obama Trails Three Of Four Republican Candidates In Latest Iowa Poll,” Des Moines Register, 2/18/12)
Des Moines Register Poll: 48 Percent Of Iowa Adults Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance. (“Obama Trails Three Of Four Republican Candidates In Latest Iowa Poll,” Des Moines Register, 2/18/12)
Des Moines Register Poll: Iowa Voters Have A 51 Percent Unfavorable Opinion Of Obama. (Des Moines Register: Iowa Poll, 800 Iowa Adults, MoE 3.5% 2/12-2/15/12)
Des Moines Register Poll: 58 Percent Of Iowa Adults Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy. (Des Moines Register: Iowa Poll, 800 Iowa Adults, MoE 3.5% 2/12-2/15/12)
Des Moines Register Poll: 64 Percent Of Iowa Adults Think The Country Is On The Wrong Track, Compared To Just 30 Percent Of Iowans Who Think The Country Is On The Right Track. (Des Moines Register: Iowa Poll, 800 Iowa Adults, MoE 3.5% 2/12-2/15/12)
