Something has changed in the Republican race for president, and it may give Trump the nomination: https://t.co/EUjtOZfaJA
— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) April 27, 2016
Tuesday night went about as well as possible for Donald Trump.
Two weeks ago, after a rough stretch of states for Trump, we issued a series of delegate projections that included something called a “path-to-1,237” projection, a set of targets that would allow Trump to clinch a delegate majority without having to rely on uncommitted delegates. With Trump’s terrific results in New York last week and even better ones in the five states that voted on Tuesday, Trump is running a little ahead of that path.
Based on provisional results, 1 it looks as though Trump will sweep every pledged delegate in Maryland (as a result of winning every congressional district), Connecticut (as a result of winning every congressional district and getting more than 50 percent of the vote statewide), Pennsylvania (where statewide delegates are awarded winner-take-all) and Delaware (ditto), along with 11 of 19 delegates in Rhode Island (which is highly proportional). Combined with the New York results, 2 that gives Trump 200 delegates since we issued the path-to-1,237 projections, five delegates ahead of his original targets.
If he doesn't clinch the nomination in California, Donald Trump may still win first ballot https://t.co/Y5xUzJp7tz pic.twitter.com/XEw7LOyf9o
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) April 27, 2016
Is 5 for 5 good? Can #Trump sew it up next week in Indiana? https://t.co/Cwjw2J3UCr #tcot
— Andrew Malcolm (@AHMalcolm) April 27, 2016
